Research Methodology
The value of each of these streams of future income can be expressed in today’s money by discounting back income expected in future years to express the value of that money today. For example, a million dollars in the bank today is clearly worth a million dollars, but a million dollars that will be received one year from now is worth less than a million dollars. The difference in value is the discount rate. A discount rate of 5% may be used, reflecting the cost of a commercial loan, in which case a million dollars one year from now is worth $952,000 in today’s money. In other words, $1 million dollars in a year’s time is worth $952,000 in today’s money since $952,000 could be invested in a bank account today to grow to $1 million in a year’s time a ssuming the interest rate was 5%. The golf architect valuation model actually uses a seemingly more punitive discount rate of 15%. Using an 15% discount a million dollars, a year from now, is worth $847,000 in today’s money. The 15% discount rate is used by the US Association of Golf Course appraiser and is industry standard for golf development projects. The net present value (NPV)of green fee income is the sum of all anticipated future income from green fees discounted back and expressed in today’s money. The NPV of membership sales, membership dues and real estate sales is derived in the same way. The average performance of real estate for each architect is expressed in a variable called NPV RE 300. This refers to the net present value of the real estate for 300 houses. This adjustment controls for masterplan size allowing accurate comparison of the real estate performance of different architects. The NPV of an overall golf development is the sum of the NPV’s of green fee income, membership sales income, membership dues income and real estate sales. The NPV for an architect’s name is the average NPV of all that architect’s projects. Thus if an architect has fifteen projects, the NPV is the average value delivered by those fifteen projects.
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Ranking Of Leading Golf Architects |
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Rank |
|
All Time |
Golf |
Real Estate |
Total |
|
1 |
Jack Nicklaus |
247 |
45.5 |
50.6 |
96.1 |
|
2 |
Gary Player |
84 |
47.3 |
39.0 |
86.3 |
|
3 |
Robert Trent Jones II |
185 |
42.3 |
23.5 |
65.8 |
|
4 |
Arnold Palmer |
188 |
31.4 |
21.2 |
52.6 |
|
5 |
IMG |
54 |
22.8 |
n/a |
- |
|
Note: The above table uses “The Economist” purchasing power parity (ppp) index to equate international currencies. |
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| Courses Designed by Gary Player |
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Country |
Continent |
Number of |
Belgium |
Europe |
1 |
China |
Asia |
3 |
Czech Republic |
Europe |
1 |
Dominican Republic |
North America |
1 |
Egypt |
Africa |
1 |
France |
Europe |
1 |
India |
Asia |
1 |
Indonesia |
Asia |
7 |
Italy |
Europe |
1 |
Japan |
Asia |
6 |
Mauritius |
Africa |
1 |
Myanmar |
Asia |
1 |
Philippines |
Asia |
6 |
Puerto Rico |
North America |
1 |
South Africa |
Africa |
16 |
Spain |
Europe |
1 |
Taiwan |
Asia |
2 |
Thailand |
Asia |
2 |
United States |
North America |
31 |
|
|
|
Total |
|
84 |
Note: The above table lists projects opened for play by Gary Player Design since 1987
The table below lists the fourteen leading golf architects in the US market. This table related to all golf courses opened in the US market in the ten year period 1993 to 2003. The table is ranked in order of average NPV value delivered by the projects designed by the different names.
Top Performing Golf Architects In The US Market |
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Rank |
Architect |
All-Time |
NPV GOLF |
NPV RE 300 |
NPV Total |
1 |
Jack Nicklaus Signature |
90 |
60.1 |
55.7 |
115.8 |
2 |
Gary Player |
31 |
52.6 |
51.4 |
104.0 |
3 |
Thomas Fazio |
111 |
52.4 |
50.3 |
102.7 |
4 |
Tom Weiskopf |
10 |
50.8 |
51.7 |
102.5 |
5 |
Jay Morrish |
19 |
37.8 |
47.7 |
85.5 |
6 |
Pete Dye |
96 |
41.7 |
37.3 |
79.0 |
7 |
Greg Norman |
19 |
33.0 |
44.5 |
77.5 |
8 |
Robert Trent Jones |
92 |
47.0 |
23.5 |
70.5 |
9 |
Rees Jones |
69 |
38.9 |
25.3 |
64.2 |
10 |
Jim Fazio |
21 |
30.6 |
29.5 |
60.1 |
11 |
P. B. Dye |
44 |
29.9 |
24.0 |
53.9 |
12 |
Arnold Palmer |
140 |
31.8 |
21.2 |
53.0 |
13 |
Robert E. Cupp |
53 |
30.2 |
19.8 |
50.1 |
14 |
Arthur Hills |
144 |
29.9 |
19.5 |
49.4 |
|
US Average |
|
23.2 |
20.8 |
44.0 |
The financial performance of the Gary Player courses that have opened in the US since 1998 has been exceptional. The table below summarises the performance of the five Player courses that have opened in the US since 1998. The average NPV of golf sales at these projects is $88.1 million, the average NPV of the real estate is $84.6. While Gary Player has not been as prolific in the US as other lead name designers the projects that he has designed have enjoyed exceptional performance.
Since 1998 Gary Player has opened five courses in the US: Glenarbor, Manhatten Woods, The Wolverine, TPC of Jasna Polana and The ACE Club. The average green fee across these five clubs is $210. Average joining fees and annual dues are $104,000 and $10,160 respectively.
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Performance Summary Of US Player Courses |
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Golf Club |
NPV GOLF |
NPV RE 300 |
NPV Total |
Glenarbor |
114.1 |
n/a |
- |
Manhattan Woods |
100.2 |
147.6 |
247.8 |
The Wolverine |
42.9 |
21.6 |
64.5 |
TPC of Jasna Polana |
103.9 |
n/a |
- |
The ACE Club |
79.4 |
n/a |
- |
Average |
88.1 |
84.6 |
156.2 |